Polymarket Trader

CyberOptic

0x2fee7aca42e4cee60a9e08526d266677f5b42e1a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $269.4
Realized PnL: $167.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $108.5
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$7.39

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $3.54
Potential payout: $52.8
Potential profit: $49.26
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $47.1
Potential payout: $50.91
Potential profit: $3.82
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $39.71
Potential payout: $42.47
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $2.76
Potential payout: $42.43
Potential profit: $39.67
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $31.06
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $27.38
Potential payout: $30.94
Potential profit: $3.56
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.01

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $3.37
Potential payout: $30.67
Potential profit: $27.3
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $19.88
Potential payout: $30.59
Potential profit: $10.71
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $30.57
Potential profit: $19.56
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $19.94
Potential payout: $29.98
Potential profit: $10.04
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $8.69
Potential payout: $29.97
Potential profit: $21.28
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $22.17
Potential profit: $17.62
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $16.3
Potential payout: $20.63
Potential profit: $4.33
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $3.37
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $15.86
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.63

No position

Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $14.7
Potential profit: $9.63
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $5.93
Potential payout: $11.62
Potential profit: $5.69
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $10.19
Potential payout: $10.3
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $6.91
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $2.89
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $1.91

No position

Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $9.79
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $9.79
Potential profit: $8.32
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$3.52

No position

Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $6.22
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $3.21
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $4.23
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Cavs position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.29

No position

Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.89

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

No position

Will Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

Yes position

De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

No position

Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.22

Yes position

Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

No position

Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

No position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 0.5

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

No 59% 8.33 shares
Will USA win the World Cup?

No 97% 5.15 shares
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 30% 16.66 shares
Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5

Yes 74.6% 20.1 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 31.06 shares
Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5

Yes 80% 18.75 shares
Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5

Yes 80% 18.75 shares
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

No 96% 5.2 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 41% 27.02 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

No 40% 12.5 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

No 71% 7.04 shares
Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5

Yes 80% 18.75 shares