No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $45.87K
- Potential payout
- $50.68K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Polymarket Trader
Canaldi
0x3006b8ff025a3786dd9e2e2b3e183d429143e9f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.78K
- Realized PnL
- $31.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $23.14K
- Potential payout
- $24.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $6.7K
- Potential payout
- $15.76K
- Potential profit
- $9.06K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.39K
- Potential profit
- $14.39K
- User PnL
- -$11.65K
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $7.58K
- Potential payout
- $9.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $7.43K
- Potential payout
- $7.95K
- Potential profit
- $516.47
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $151.09
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $4.62K
- Potential payout
- $5.07K
- Potential profit
- $456.59
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $135.21
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $3.46K
- Potential payout
- $3.63K
- Potential profit
- $165.16
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $296.73
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $983.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $43.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.17K
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36K
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $919.34
No position
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $723.05
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.69
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.05
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.87
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.13
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.3
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.13
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.23
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.33
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.17
No position
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.41
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.61
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.45
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 30.53 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 45,239.69 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 9.64 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 583 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 4,819.28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 89% 23,259.79 shares
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No 91.6% 7,945.64 shares
- Trump declares election interference national emergency?No 88.3% 5,073.21 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No 89.5% 2,169.87 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 36.9% 12,344.86 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 97% 837.24 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 97% 43,664.95 shares