Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $981.71
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $237.8
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$18.29
Polymarket Trader
9999999
0x300a53d19ca4a7dc655f776fab98f245e777dec7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $981.71
- Realized PnL
- $1.51K
- Win rate
- 61.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $563.83
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.65
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.47
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.07
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.31
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.49
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.75
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.95
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.25
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.47
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$60.4
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$89.06
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$177.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 82% 1,219.51 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 79% 625 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 80% 625 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 94% 531.91 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 96.4% 518.94 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 96.3% 519.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 86% 581.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 72% 694.44 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 86% 643.77 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 77.7% 643.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 78% 641.03 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 97.8% 511.25 shares