Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $238.63
- Potential payout
- $513.19
- Potential profit
- $274.56
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $9.24
Polymarket Trader
xxcrt
0x301998f8176835a106045e7f7272452d51a4f036
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $523.33
- Realized PnL
- $457.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $263.91
- Potential payout
- $347.25
- Potential profit
- $83.34
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$9.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.57
- Potential profit
- $194.57
- User PnL
- -$7.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.94
- Potential profit
- $78.94
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Yes position
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.66
- Potential profit
- $66.66
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.1%
- Current value
- $20.79
- Potential payout
- $59.3
- Potential profit
- $38.52
- Multiplier
- 2.85x
- User PnL
- $4.57
Yes position
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$2.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 49% 110.19 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 76% 71.12 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 45% 10 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 74% 27.03 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 44.3% 45.16 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.7% 270.86 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 40.9% 134.6 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 94% 59.18 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 39% 7.44 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.7% 42.85 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 86% 36.05 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 99.8% 30.49 shares