No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Polymarket Trader
Arthur81
0x301be4b7da8a23dca1ee6946bba4c10c3616a2be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $23.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Celtics position
Celtics vs. 76ers
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Celtics position
Celtics vs. 76ers
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 be greater than 2,400,000?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.2%
- Multiplier
- 5.51x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or below on July 10?No 99.9% 6.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on July 10?No 99.9% 8.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C or higher on July 10?No 99.9% 6.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on July 10?No 99.9% 6.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 9?No 99.9% 6.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on July 9?No 99.9% 9.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on July 9?No 99.9% 8.91 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on July 8?No 99.9% 8.31 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 7?No 99.9% 8.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 7?No 99.8% 8.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C or below on July 7?No 99.9% 6.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on July 7?No 99.9% 7.81 shares