Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Gertrudeth
0x303a099431441a5e44191153312e580e0bdd2b18
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.87
- Realized PnL
- $234.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.43
- Potential profit
- $171.43
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.85
- Potential profit
- $165.85
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.26
- Potential payout
- $98.2
- Potential profit
- $84.95
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$16.76
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $94.83
- Potential profit
- $94.21
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.53
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.53
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4.64
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.1
- Potential profit
- $46.1
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $46.06
- Potential profit
- $40.1
- Multiplier
- 7.72x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $44.73
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.58
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.99
- Potential profit
- $44.99
- User PnL
- -$5.35
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.33
- Potential profit
- $43.33
- User PnL
- -$7.93
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.29
- Potential profit
- $34.29
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.93
- Potential profit
- $32.93
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $11.82
- Potential payout
- $30.71
- Potential profit
- $18.88
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.08
- Potential profit
- $30.08
- User PnL
- -$7.42
Maja Chwalinska position
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $8.55
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $21.45
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $25.8
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $28.93
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.17
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5
Bulls position
Bucks vs. Bulls
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.54
Heat position
Rockets vs. Heat
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Under position
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.53
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $7.9
No position
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58
Yes position
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $6.04
No position
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Kings position
Rangers vs. Kings
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Colombia position
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 84% 2.75 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?No 90.1% 1.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes 19% 10 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 98% 1.02 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?No 81% 4.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 47% 4.98 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No 95.2% 1.05 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 44% 5 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?Up 32% 10 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?No 90% 1.93 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 43% 5 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?No 65% 1.54 shares