Polymarket Trader

0x3041E4Ba0e242DAeDBEb2C301d69c23Dd73c9335-1759418532927

0x3041e4ba0e242daedbeb2c301d69c23dd73c9335

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.17
Realized PnL: $77.91
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $498.78
Potential profit: $498.78
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.83
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.3
Potential profit: $276.3
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.69
Potential profit: $250.69
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.54
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.33
Potential profit: $122.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.55
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $5.33
Potential payout: $94.34
Potential profit: $89.01
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $82.17
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 29-October 5?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.23
Potential profit: $81.23
User PnL: -$5.7

No position

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.73
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,800 September 29-October 5?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.19
Potential profit: $64.19
User PnL: -$5.4

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.32
Potential profit: $54.32
User PnL: -$25.53

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Solana reach $110 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.78
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.14

Yes position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08

No position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ilia Topuria 47% 54.32 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Yes 1.6% 122.33 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 10% 20 shares
Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Canada 5% 40 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 94.34 shares
Spread: South Africa (-1.5)

South Africa 2.8% 35.71 shares
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Yes 0.4% 276.3 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 83.33 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?

Yes 1.3% 153.85 shares
Will Solana reach $110 in June?

Yes 2% 50 shares