Polymarket Trader

applews

0x3044e6e5ab9ff2fcc1dabd9932c992d8fcb886f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $335.64
Realized PnL: $1.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $240.66
Potential payout: $318.75
Potential profit: $78.09
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $33.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.79
Potential profit: $232.79
User PnL: -$114.69

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $94.98
Potential payout: $208.75
Potential profit: $113.77
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$29.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.63
Potential profit: $206.63
User PnL: -$13.09

Yes position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.38
Potential profit: $200.38
User PnL: -$84.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.77
Potential profit: $135.77
User PnL: -$86.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.91
Potential profit: $119.91
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.43
Potential profit: $97.43
User PnL: -$42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$25.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $64
User PnL: -$16.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.77
Potential profit: $52.77
User PnL: -$29.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$18.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.78
Potential profit: $46.78
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.57
Potential profit: $44.57
User PnL: -$23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$24.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.38
Potential profit: $30.38
User PnL: -$12.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.01
Potential profit: $30.01
User PnL: -$21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$12.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 7AM ET

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.76

MOUZ position

Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.9

MOUZ position

Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3)

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.6

OG position

Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Up 56% 5.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Up 51% 19.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Up 51% 19.61 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 39% 59.99 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

No 65% 318.75 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 97.9% 21.44 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 88.6% 189.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Up 92% 21.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Up 47% 21.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Up 78% 12.82 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 2.5% 49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Up 48% 10.42 shares