Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.45K
- Potential profit
- $8.45K
- User PnL
- -$5.39K
Polymarket Trader
billrorschach
0x3045ce059809b568efb4e9f1bbfa129b33659c3c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $740.41
- Realized PnL
- $407.86
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.14K
- Potential profit
- $6.14K
- User PnL
- -$4K
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.9K
- Potential profit
- $4.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.98K
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $43.5
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $2.76K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- User PnL
- -$483.96
Yes position
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- User PnL
- -$720
Yes position
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- User PnL
- -$270
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $191.67
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $71.88
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $21.88
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $48.19
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $195.24
- Potential payout
- $952.38
- Potential profit
- $757.14
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$4.76
Yes position
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $851.7
- Potential profit
- $851.7
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $97.22
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $458.33
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Over position
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$200
Y
Yes position
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $42.85
- Potential payout
- $285.65
- Potential profit
- $242.8
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.71
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $49.87
- Potential payout
- $253.81
- Potential profit
- $203.93
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.53
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $352.31
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.42
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.59
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.62x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Over position
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.91
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.47
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 39.22x
- User PnL
- -$13.46
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$55.66
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$64.68
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$65.09
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$81.14
Yes position
Will Berachain launch a token in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$83.13
Over position
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$132.66
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$215.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Yes 18% 555.56 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 1,666.67 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes 4.1% 1,220 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 19.7% 253.81 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 21% 952.38 shares
- Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5Over 60% 2,434.42 shares
- Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5Over 60.3% 2,488.95 shares
- Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 285.65 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 2,272.72 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 1,923.07 shares
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Over 50% 400 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.7% 1,214.14 shares