Polymarket Trader

LeahCosmos7

0x30491e0a1d8ca9e1604ed5b75aeff6511500ea75

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.09
Realized PnL: $66.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.28
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.02
Potential profit: $14.02
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$4.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.57
Potential profit: $4.57
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.77
Potential profit: $3.77
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 14% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Up 41% 2.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Down 58% 2.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Up 47% 2.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Down 47% 2.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Up 78% 1.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Up 56% 1.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Down 73% 2.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Up 53% 3.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Down 48% 2.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Down 40% 2.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Down 43% 2.63 shares