Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $63.33
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $603.33
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$76.67
Polymarket Trader
0x3052...232a
0x3052776d06122dde8e1a86f2ed9defb97940232a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $420.99
- Realized PnL
- $1.52K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $274.15
- Potential payout
- $602.53
- Potential profit
- $328.38
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $24.15
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $483.87
- Potential profit
- $483.63
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$149.76
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $22.78
- Potential payout
- $417.92
- Potential profit
- $395.14
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$27.22
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $33.48
- Potential payout
- $267.86
- Potential profit
- $234.38
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$41.52
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$41.5
Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $74
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $63.21
- Potential profit
- $62.71
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.68
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.87
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.92
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.28
Yes position
Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.12
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $75.21
Yes position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.1
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.24
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "Minneapolis" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will the US strike Cuba next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.57
Yes position
Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Moon" during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.96
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.9
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.67
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.69
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.49
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes 41.5% 602.53 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 27% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 96.1% 208.33 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 31.6% 63.21 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 60% 208.33 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 63% 95.24 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 21% 200 shares
- Will Trump say "Moon" during Monday news conference?Yes 53% 15.01 shares
- Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "Minneapolis" this week? (March 29)Yes 99.6% 19.23 shares
- Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "Minneapolis" this week? (March 29)Yes 52% 19.23 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes 12% 100 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes 18% 111.11 shares