Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0x30589337d24682b43e61F66D5e8Fb5cD49b1a33b-1765134708767
0x30589337d24682b43e61f66d5e8fb5cd49b1a33b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.57
- Realized PnL
- $594.89
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $836.14
- Potential profit
- $836.14
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $527.56
- Potential profit
- $527.56
- User PnL
- -$94.56
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or higher on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $413.72
- Potential profit
- $413.72
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $328.09
- Potential profit
- $328.09
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308.54
- Potential profit
- $308.54
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.75
- Potential profit
- $125.75
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Bulgaria come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.25
- Potential profit
- $106.25
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will Finland come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.76
- Potential profit
- $104.76
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.62
- Potential profit
- $82.62
- User PnL
- -$34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $64.97
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $26.62
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.04
- Potential profit
- $59.04
- User PnL
- -$16
Bills position
Eagles vs. Bills
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $51.28
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$15.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.86
- Potential profit
- $34.86
- User PnL
- -$4
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Clippers
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.9
- Potential profit
- $33.9
- User PnL
- -$20
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $28.4
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Grizzlies position
Grizzlies vs. Wizards
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.02
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.13
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.4
Yes position
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
No position
Will Solana reach $160 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will the Las Vegas Raiders finish with the worst record in the NFL?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Lakers position
Kings vs. Lakers
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Georgia Southern position
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
Will Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?Yes 59% 65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 21?Yes 43% 35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 22?Yes 27% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 21?Yes 2.3% 67.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?Yes 18% 17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 22?Yes 6.5% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 22?Yes 15% 20.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 22?Yes 15% 4.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 22?Yes 16.5% 12.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 22?Yes 16% 12.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 22?Yes 15% 5.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 22?Yes 15% 7 shares