No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $928.87
- Potential payout
- $982.41
- Potential profit
- $53.54
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $103.67
Polymarket Trader
bad2betbet
0x305a60764168758c65e83d6ab336f83a36de5392
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $954.9
- Realized PnL
- $176.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.79
- Potential profit
- $85.79
- User PnL
- -$44.61
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.76
- Potential profit
- $61.76
- User PnL
- -$13.5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$4.42
No position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.94
- Potential profit
- $27.94
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on November 25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
76ers position
76ers vs. Bulls
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.3
No position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Cowboys position
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- User PnL
- -$6.1
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Solana reach $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $2.79
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Will Trump sue the BBC?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Ravens position
Bears vs. Ravens
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.23
Yes position
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
Putintseva position
Jiangxi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.81
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Celtics
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Panthers position
Panthers vs. Kings
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Timberwolves position
Pacers vs. Timberwolves
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Kennesaw State position
UTEP vs. Kennesaw State
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Colts position
Titans vs. Colts
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Solana reach $120 in May?No 98.6% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No 99.1% 63.04 shares
- Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 74% 1.35 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?No 52% 85.79 shares
- Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?Yes 84% 1.19 shares
- Will "Despicable Me" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)No 95% 1.05 shares
- Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 84% 1.19 shares
- Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?No 88% 5.68 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?Yes 95.2% 5.25 shares
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 90% 5.56 shares
- Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No 76% 6.58 shares
- Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?No 72% 6.94 shares