Polymarket Trader

CapStarks

0x30651a90141c31aaa4b75dd05cc96c3f91a21ee6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.82
Realized PnL: $8.04
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $18.62
Potential payout: $25.86
Potential profit: $7.24
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $5.12
Potential profit: $3.92
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $1.93

Under position

Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Over position

Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Argentina to score first vs. Austria?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 2 Morocco?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Under position

Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Under position

France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Australia to score first vs. United States?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

No 25% 5.12 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

No 58% 25.86 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.7% 101.35 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 30?

Yes 19% 10.53 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 30.7% 6.32 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.7% 6.33 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.6% 25.97 shares
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Yes 12% 12.5 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 99.9% 1.26 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 79% 1.27 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.7% 25.97 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.8% 101.35 shares