Polymarket Trader

banestow

0x30802ddd7117da69c05b2eb6327e94474192337b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.02K
Realized PnL: $0.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $13.64
Potential payout: $401.18
Potential profit: $387.54
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$2.16

No position

Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $142.65
Potential payout: $257.02
Potential profit: $114.37
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $50.65

No position

Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $50.35
Potential payout: $251.74
Potential profit: $201.39
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $12.22

No position

Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $250.64
Potential profit: $247.01
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$6.23

No position

Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $5.82
Potential payout: $223.99
Potential profit: $218.17
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $116
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $84
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $46.42
Potential payout: $197.54
Potential profit: $151.12
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.42

No position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $182.44
Potential profit: $177.33
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $97.75
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $72.25
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$5.34

No position

Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $5.55
Potential payout: $165.69
Potential profit: $160.14
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $1.91

No position

Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $6.64
Potential payout: $151
Potential profit: $144.36
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $97.44
Potential payout: $140.23
Potential profit: $42.78
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $3.89

No position

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $103.47
Potential payout: $132.65
Potential profit: $29.18
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.4%
Current value: $28.01
Potential payout: $125.04
Potential profit: $97.03
Multiplier: 4.46x
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $42
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $59.3
Potential payout: $92.65
Potential profit: $33.35
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$18.96

No position

Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $73.01
Potential payout: $82.5
Potential profit: $9.49
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $29.93
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $52.07
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $3.69

No position

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $11.7
Potential payout: $81.26
Potential profit: $69.56
Multiplier: 6.94x
User PnL: $7.24

No position

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $24.48
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $47.52
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $4.02
Potential payout: $64.4
Potential profit: $60.37
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $52.31
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $48.47
Potential profit: $44.96
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$1.19

No position

Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $35.37
Potential payout: $42.36
Potential profit: $6.99
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.51

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Yes 4.9% 30 shares
Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 6.6% 29.7 shares
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 5% 31 shares
Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 6.6% 16.94 shares
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 3.6% 79.05 shares
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 2.8% 7 shares
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 3.6% 75.56 shares
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Yes 62% 39 shares
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Yes 61% 31 shares
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 22.8% 100 shares
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?

No 6.1% 37.97 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

No 32% 82 shares