Polymarket Trader

bonalddrunk

0x3089e1a6e3e9122c328aebe47b86ff5e13b292f6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.27K
Realized PnL: $6.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $13.32K
Potential payout: $14.72K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.63K
User PnL: -$61.73

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $2.22K
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $288.19
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $29.81

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $313.21
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $46.47

Yes position

Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $248
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$365.05

No position

Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $11.05
User PnL: $50.15

No position

Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 12.8%
Current value: $168.19
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 7.81x
User PnL: $17.98

No position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $642.54
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $558.47
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$6.01

Yes position

Will Haiti be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $52.02
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $23.84

Yes position

Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $49.85
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: -$6.47

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $50.73
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $33.92

Yes position

Spain leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$664.49

No position

Will Jordan finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $259.63
Potential payout: $979.72
Potential profit: $720.09
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $4.9

Under position

Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $823
Potential profit: $823
User PnL: -$625.48

Over position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $792.99
Potential profit: $792.99
User PnL: -$586.81

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $790
Potential profit: $784.87
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.77

No position

Will Croatia win the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $786.45
Potential payout: $790
Potential profit: $3.55
User PnL: $18.45

Yes position

Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $637.99
Potential profit: $637.99
User PnL: -$66.42

No position

Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $592.2
Potential payout: $630
Potential profit: $37.8
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$6.3

No position

Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $30.22
Potential payout: $629.6
Potential profit: $599.38
Multiplier: 20.83x
User PnL: $9.44

Yes position

Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $42.51
Potential payout: $607.24
Potential profit: $564.73
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$6.07

Yes position

Will Tunisia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $549.34
Potential payout: $607
Potential profit: $57.66
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $527.26
Potential payout: $546.38
Potential profit: $19.12
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $10.32

No position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $455.9
Potential profit: $455.9
User PnL: -$305.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $902.61

No position

Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $710.72

No position

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $473.56

Yes position

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.32

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-04?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.54

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.2

No position

Will Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.11

Yes position

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.89

No position

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.8

No position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.76

No position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.73

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.34

No position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $141.89

Under position

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.26

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.58

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.6

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.4

No position

Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.28

No position

Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.57

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.83

Yes position

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 5?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.08

Yes position

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $64.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Natus Vincere make a roster change before July?

No 81.9% 68.5 shares
Will Natus Vincere make a roster change before July?

No 82% 97 shares
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

No 95% 630 shares
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 3.3% 70 shares
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 3.3% 250 shares
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 3.3% 85 shares
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 3.3% 224.6 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81% 23.3 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

No 54% 1,201 shares
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

Colombia 22.8% 229.18 shares
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?

No 61% 242 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 2% 177.2 shares