Yes position
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $20.6
- Potential payout
- $4.58K
- Potential profit
- $4.56K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$190.43
Polymarket Trader
PassiveStrike
0x30a7df6c0b74e59f90bb0be1831f260c540602fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.76K
- Realized PnL
- $18.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- User PnL
- -$170.3
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.69K
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $218.48
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.77
No position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $2.01K
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $132.04
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $52.7
No position
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $263.28
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$26.21
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $147
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$44.1
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.94
- Potential profit
- $999.94
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $729.92
- Potential payout
- $806.54
- Potential profit
- $76.62
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $46.12
Yes position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $168.57
- Potential payout
- $636.11
- Potential profit
- $467.54
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$82.8
Yes position
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $15.81
- Potential payout
- $585.39
- Potential profit
- $569.58
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $264.18
- Potential payout
- $279.56
- Potential profit
- $15.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $106.78
- Potential payout
- $136.02
- Potential profit
- $29.24
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $4.31
- Potential payout
- $70.14
- Potential profit
- $65.83
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$11.12
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $10.63
- Potential profit
- $10.59
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34K
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $941.76
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $898.02
No position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $820.35
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $732.68
Yes position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $661.66
Yes position
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $636.2
Yes position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 12, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $619.7
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.61
No position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $433.03
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.97
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $367.44
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.92
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.54
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.16
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.05
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $337.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $322.74
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 95.9% 2,016.55 shares
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?No 92% 900.01 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes 1% 1,000 shares
- Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 85.3% 564.85 shares
- Megaquake by June 30?No 19.1% 760.11 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 22% 70.14 shares
- Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 41.4% 1,197.5 shares
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes 35.5% 313.84 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 6% 500 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No 5.6% 19.64 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 23.6% 600 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No 3.8% 3,725.92 shares