Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $3.67K
- User PnL
- -$11
Polymarket Trader
capon1
@aalis_al
0x30adf73386fa3491de9a44039655694e0f655d5f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $142.35
- Realized PnL
- -$53.69
- Win rate
- 56.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.74K
- User PnL
- -$51.2
No position
Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $918.22
- Potential profit
- $918.22
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $879.43
- Potential profit
- $878.11
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $33.74
- Potential payout
- $173
- Potential profit
- $139.27
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $12.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $137.25
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$36.75
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $5.47
- Potential payout
- $135
- Potential profit
- $129.53
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $71.69
- Potential payout
- $134
- Potential profit
- $62.31
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $11.39
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.7%
- Current value
- $8.69
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91.31
- Multiplier
- 11.51x
- User PnL
- -$6.81
Yes position
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $51.3
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$12.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.21
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.76
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.16
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.44
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.56
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.71
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$29.49
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$109
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.6% 98.43 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.2% 2,500 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 15.5% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 6% 180 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 88% 66 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 33% 150 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 75.7% 66 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 75% 30 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 60 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Yes 32% 30 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 30 shares