Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $53.32
- Potential payout
- $820.38
- Potential profit
- $767.05
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$96.67
Polymarket Trader
0x30c78235556e3b7f7893953B3ba4E4723a7e2dfc-1768425240522
0x30c78235556e3b7f7893953b3ba4e4723a7e2dfc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.73
- Realized PnL
- -$108.79
- Win rate
- 36.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $40.41
- Potential payout
- $475.39
- Potential profit
- $434.98
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$59.59
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.08
- Potential profit
- $196.08
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.91
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.16
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.93
Up position
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.31
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp 31% 29.05 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 263.16 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 51% 196.08 shares
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes 21% 475.39 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 8.6% 1,167.41 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17.9% 557.22 shares
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 45% 111.11 shares
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 47.1% 106.16 shares
- Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 21.2% 235.44 shares
- Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?Up 92.8% 215.52 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.6% 102.34 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 48.9% 102.35 shares