No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $705.1
- Potential payout
- $736.39
- Potential profit
- $31.3
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $79.45
Polymarket Trader
Aldebaran3216
0x30d3f7485ce61b8769bbcbd48d39f49822c9d015
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $967.95
- Realized PnL
- $1.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $202.22
- Potential profit
- $200.3
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$5.86
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $39.43
- Potential payout
- $202.22
- Potential profit
- $162.79
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $31.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $202.22
- Potential profit
- $201.72
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $202.22
- Potential profit
- $201.52
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$7.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $202.22
- Potential profit
- $202.12
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.68
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $202.22
- Potential profit
- $193.12
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $202.22
- Potential profit
- $202.12
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.68
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $19.21
- Potential payout
- $202.22
- Potential profit
- $183.01
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $11.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $202.22
- Potential profit
- $202.12
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.68
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $51.57
- Potential payout
- $202.22
- Potential profit
- $150.66
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $43.79
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $202.22
- Potential profit
- $202.12
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.68
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $75.83
- Potential payout
- $202.22
- Potential profit
- $126.39
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $68.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $29.03
- Potential payout
- $200.2
- Potential profit
- $171.17
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $21.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $200.2
- Potential profit
- $199.7
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200.2
- Potential profit
- $200.1
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200.2
- Potential profit
- $200.1
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $11.71
- Potential payout
- $200.2
- Potential profit
- $188.49
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200.2
- Potential profit
- $200.1
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $200.2
- Potential profit
- $199.5
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $21.02
- Potential payout
- $200.2
- Potential profit
- $179.18
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $13.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200.2
- Potential profit
- $200.1
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200.2
- Potential profit
- $200.1
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $200.2
- Potential profit
- $199.5
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.73
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.81
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.57
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.58
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.85
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.24
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.6
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 94% 6.38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 7% 3 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 20?No 99.7% 150.45 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 77% 7.79 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 0.9% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 31% 3.23 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 63.5% 1.58 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 0.8% 12.22 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 1.1% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 0.1% 112.62 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 0.2% 37.53 shares