Polymarket Trader

Short21

0x30dc38f0b0c122977d263df0038cea04eebefdc6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.88
Realized PnL: $5.97
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $20.13
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 12% 12 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 20% 25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 25% 12 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 29% 17.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 24% 20.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 29% 17.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 27% 18.52 shares
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Under 59% 8.47 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 68.9% 7.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 68.9% 7.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 68.9% 7.26 shares