No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Current value
- $308.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $191.75
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Polymarket Trader
laowanggege
@sunshineboywang
0x30f86ffac1e33f40074c035b0b6ef5c377a4649f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.58K
- Realized PnL
- $3.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $481.74
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $18.25
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $13.27
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $414.9
- Potential payout
- $491
- Potential profit
- $76.11
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $22.1
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $189
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $186.68
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $3.32
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430
Hawks position
Timberwolves vs. Hawks
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.98
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.8
Grizzlies position
Pacers vs. Grizzlies
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
KT Rolster position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119
Yes position
Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115
No position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $60.91
Yes position
Pump.fun disables livestreaming by Friday?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.63
No position
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.02x
- User PnL
- $56
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
No position
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $34.59
No position
Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.56
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $20
Chargers position
Broncos vs. Chargers
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will someone else be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.03
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will another Pump.fun coin be first to $1b?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97.2% 190 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 200 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 91% 200 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Yes 91% 11 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No 90% 20 shares
- Will Graham Platner win more than 90% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?Yes 5% 1 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 1.2% 200 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 8.8% 200 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Yes 2.3% 20 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No 98.1% 20 shares
- Will Graham Platner win less than 65% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?No 85% 20 shares
- Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary?Yes 1.1% 20 shares