Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.34K
- Potential profit
- $4.34K
- User PnL
- -$17.37
Polymarket Trader
yydgod
@fatefaded2
0x310343d6a79b407417ebf5ebbcc85ebf59c35ef3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.17K
- Realized PnL
- $1.29K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $818.91
- Potential payout
- $3.48K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $296.2
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $966.64
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $910.34
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$630.09
Yes position
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $768.94
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $461.36
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$63.94
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $614.52
- Potential payout
- $661.84
- Potential profit
- $47.32
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $17.54
No position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $360.95
- Potential profit
- $358.06
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$59.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $657.14
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.9
No position
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.32
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.56
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.93
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77
Yes position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.94
No position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.08
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.01
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.88
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.76
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.64
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.92
Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15% 3,484.73 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 85% 388.3 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 85% 1,358.68 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90.2% 661.84 shares
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 92.4% 181 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 44% 164.2 shares
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 90% 430.81 shares
- Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?No 99.9% 655.28 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes 0.4% 4,342 shares
- Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?No 82% 3.66 shares
- Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?No 80.9% 651.63 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 76% 337.2 shares