Polymarket Trader

DonPatos

0x310ae7581b7fee8269f657a7a7ac0bec421591f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $242.97
Realized PnL: $619.55
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $113.03
Potential payout: $364.62
Potential profit: $251.59
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $25.13
Potential payout: $191.08
Potential profit: $165.96
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: -$4.87

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $38.5
Potential payout: $178.66
Potential profit: $140.16
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $8.5

No position

Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.2
Potential profit: $152.2
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

McDonald's CEO out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $111.93
Potential profit: $111.32
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$9.38

Yes position

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $65.69
Potential payout: $101.07
Potential profit: $35.37
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $5.69

No position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.74
Potential profit: $37.74
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.11

No position

Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.14

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.3

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.06

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.07

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.36

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $28.46

Yes position

Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.85

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.35

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.39

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.25

No position

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $17.11

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.84

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.13

Over position

FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.27

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Over 53% 37.74 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.9% 82.3 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 72.9% 82.3 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 11.5% 342.05 shares
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.5% 159.98 shares
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37% 35.14 shares
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Yes 6.8% 192.66 shares
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

No 19.7% 152.2 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 91% 50.64 shares
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 56-58 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?

Yes 0.1% 90.27 shares
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Yes 23.6% 169.5 shares
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Yes 5.2% 192.66 shares