No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.99K
- Potential profit
- $14.99K
- User PnL
- -$8.51K
Polymarket Trader
unsc
0x31122ac82dbc392a53c9d0a8b8f15322f0c509a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.2K
- Realized PnL
- $45.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$7.45K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$8.9K
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $8.94K
- Potential profit
- $7.55K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$4.63K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- User PnL
- -$5.23K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.08K
- Potential profit
- $7.08K
- User PnL
- -$6.66K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$2.75K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.88K
- Potential profit
- $4.88K
- User PnL
- -$3.65K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.01K
- Potential profit
- $4.01K
- User PnL
- -$1.14K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $3.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $261.66
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $2.16K
- Potential payout
- $3.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$28.26
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- User PnL
- -$1.44K
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- User PnL
- -$2.22K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $2.53K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $74.1
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $867.9
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- User PnL
- -$592.82
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $130
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $327.82
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$164.34
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$424.78
Yes position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$228.2
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $729.08
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $456.42
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$150.95
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$149.03
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $161.8
- Potential payout
- $548.46
- Potential profit
- $386.66
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $14.18
No position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $304.64
- Potential payout
- $331.13
- Potential profit
- $26.49
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $8.27
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167.89
- Potential profit
- $167.89
- User PnL
- -$115.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.36K
Yes position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92K
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $964.41
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.15
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.98
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.4
Yes position
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.76
No position
US strike on Syria by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.2
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.8
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.97
No position
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.83
No position
Maduro receives asylum by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.46
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.63
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 29% 2,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 28% 2,012.14 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 49% 5 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 48% 24.36 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes 13% 60 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes 13% 1,086.42 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 64% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 32% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 31% 338 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 63% 600 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 56.9% 2,000 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 56.8% 1,000 shares