No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $4.42K
- Potential payout
- $8.42K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $153.68
Polymarket Trader
ELICHOU
0x312bcca3bc77bdc1d37dc6db5b9c1493de61cafe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.31K
- Realized PnL
- $37.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$2.28K
Yes position
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.94
- Potential payout
- $5.87K
- Potential profit
- $5.87K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$171.98
No position
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Current value
- $4.69K
- Potential payout
- $5.18K
- Potential profit
- $486.94
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $726.53
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- User PnL
- -$1.61K
No position
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- User PnL
- -$958.98
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $379.08
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $367.97
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$206.29
No position
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$235
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$170
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$590
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $829.65
- Potential profit
- $829.65
- User PnL
- -$549.44
No position
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $528.74
- Potential payout
- $749.98
- Potential profit
- $221.24
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $96.25
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $33.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $466.25
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$96.25
No position
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $341.17
- Potential profit
- $341.17
- User PnL
- -$211.53
No position
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $157
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $43
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.91
- Potential profit
- $196.91
- User PnL
- -$98.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.28
- Potential profit
- $105.28
- User PnL
- -$9.98
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.51
- Potential profit
- $46.51
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37K
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98K
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65K
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
No position
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $868.13
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $843.04
No position
Israel x Syria security deal before September?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.26
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $735.42
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640
No position
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.46
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $561.44
No position
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555
No position
Israel military response against Iran in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $528.72
Yes position
Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 46% 600 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 48% 1,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown 43% 11.63 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 47% 269 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 31% 400 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 53% 300 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 53% 1,000 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 49% 218 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 46% 651.28 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 56% 2,500 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 56% 999.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp 42.6% 58.72 shares