johnfot

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $2.07K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$101.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.52
Potential profit: $147.52
User PnL: -$74.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.09
Potential profit: $147.09
User PnL: -$25.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.02
Potential profit: $137.02
User PnL: -$39.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.03
Potential profit: $121.03
User PnL: -$74.12

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $22.39
Potential payout: $108.43
Potential profit: $86.04
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$7.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.27
Potential profit: $105.27
User PnL: -$60

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.94
Potential profit: $95.94
User PnL: -$19.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.74
Potential profit: $91.74
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $32.68
Potential payout: $86.58
Potential profit: $53.9
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$7.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.33
Potential profit: $73.33
User PnL: -$2.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.88
Potential profit: $68.88
User PnL: -$15.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.6
Potential profit: $66.6
User PnL: -$19.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.86
Potential profit: $64.86
User PnL: -$14.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.15
Potential profit: $61.15
User PnL: -$44.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.99
Potential profit: $60.99
User PnL: -$12.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.1
Potential profit: $60.1
User PnL: -$24.63

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $18.61
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $36.94
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$11.39

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.95
Potential profit: $47.95
User PnL: -$35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.01
Potential profit: $47.01
User PnL: -$39.83

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.97
Potential profit: $37.97
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $35.09
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $17.34
Potential payout: $33.67
Potential profit: $16.33
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$2.66

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.53

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.31

No position

Will Kanye tweet again by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET