Polymarket Trader

Tissot

0x313811292f1904d7172f5ef2009b834687ae000d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $25.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 11% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.77
Potential profit: $7.77
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

Calvert position

CA-41 election: Rollins (D) vs. Calvert (R)

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Stars position

Senators vs. Stars

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Inter Milan beat Young Boys?

Ends Oct 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Liverpool beat Wolves?

Ends Sep 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 27-Jan 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Zircuit airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

No 99.4% 5.03 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?

No 99.4% 6.04 shares
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99% 428.42 shares
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99.2% 428.43 shares
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 99.4% 440.2 shares
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 99.5% 440.2 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?

Yes 81% 2.47 shares
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

No 98.8% 443.88 shares
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

No 98.9% 443.88 shares
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on November 3?

Yes 99.1% 1.82 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

No 19.3% 7.77 shares
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on November 3?

No 99.7% 1 shares