Polymarket Trader

0x3140...6229

0x314065bada64f7c240a3deb09fbf8fcd40ee6229

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $77.09
Realized PnL: $141.36
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $26.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $73.5
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $14.12
Potential payout: $22.06
Potential profit: $7.94
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$0.88

No position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $14.13
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $7.61
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $4.13

No position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $5.96
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $14.24
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $15.08
Potential payout: $16.85
Potential profit: $1.77
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $7.39
Potential profit: $6.08
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: -$3.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $71.22

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.08

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77

No position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

Yes position

Will "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 11?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Michael position

The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41

Yes position

Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

No position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Over position

Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?

No 46% 21.74 shares
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 68% 22.06 shares
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 89% 16.85 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 1,737.74 shares
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 71% 21.13 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 50.9% 9.82 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 168.53 shares
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Over 51% 1.96 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 16.4% 518.14 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

No 24% 20.83 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 833.33 shares