sisyphos

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $442.34

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $16.52
Potential payout: $869.5
Potential profit: $852.98
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$111.36

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $92.45
Potential payout: $560.29
Potential profit: $467.84
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $28.22

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $128.82
Potential payout: $556.45
Potential profit: $427.63
Multiplier: 4.32x
User PnL: $115.85

Yes position

Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2025 US Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 US Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 US Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Holger Rune win the 2025 US Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.77
Potential profit: $399.77
User PnL: -$2.39

No position

Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $331.88
Potential payout: $362.71
Potential profit: $30.83
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $18.58

No position

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $338.41
Potential payout: $349.96
Potential profit: $11.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $55.89

No position

Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $313.74
Potential payout: $333.23
Potential profit: $19.49
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $55.39

Yes position

Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298
Potential profit: $298
User PnL: -$11.91

Yes position

Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $65.87
Potential payout: $223.3
Potential profit: $157.43
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $13.58

No position

Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.63
Potential profit: $212.63
User PnL: -$136.82

Yes position

Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 US Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$157.87

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $185
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $25

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 87.3%
Current value: $161.33
Potential payout: $184.9
Potential profit: $23.57
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$6.75

Yes position

Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$31.05

Yes position

Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2025 US Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.89

Yes position

Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612.78

Yes position

Bolsonaro guilty?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.47

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.75

No position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $111.48

Yes position

Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

No position

Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.82

Yes position

Jair Bolsonaro in jail by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.51

No position

Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.09

No position

Will BRICS add a new member by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.13

No position

Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.31

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.53

Yes position

New US sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justices by September 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.28

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $23.86

No position

Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $20.82

Yes position

Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81

No position

Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

Yes position

Jair Bolsonaro in jail by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.21

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?