Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $22.62K
- Potential payout
- $22.63K
- Potential profit
- $11.32
- User PnL
- $11.32
Polymarket Trader
flying-wheel
0x314896ba4dc34663fc8c283726ca6638ba1ebc30
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.62K
- Realized PnL
- $25.29K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37K
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86K
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $959.68
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 26, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $832.95
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.23
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.49
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.42
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.21
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.86
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.44
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by March 31
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.49
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.15
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.58
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.15
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.08
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.52
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.68
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 59,043.67 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.5% 31,149.79 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.9% 104,652.48 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 140,002.48 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 46,666 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 143,075.82 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.8% 95,629.68 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.9% 4,674.62 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 97% 5,555 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 94% 997.9 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 83% 2,000 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes 99.9% 20,000 shares