Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $245.11
- Potential payout
- $392.49
- Potential profit
- $147.38
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$26.5
Polymarket Trader
RoadToAThousand
0x315075c60513fe16281faf5eb8ac46b524bc4b8e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $904.52
- Realized PnL
- $454.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $210.43
- Potential payout
- $216.38
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $17.16
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $179
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $161.6
- Potential payout
- $189
- Potential profit
- $27.41
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.32
- Potential profit
- $153.32
- User PnL
- -$139.02
Yes position
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$25
England position
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$54.25
No position
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $56
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $44
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $38.89
- Potential payout
- $77
- Potential profit
- $38.12
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.17
- Potential profit
- $73.17
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.92
- Potential profit
- $69.92
- User PnL
- -$55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.77
- Potential profit
- $67.77
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.1
- Potential profit
- $64.1
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $46.49
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$8.1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.51
- Potential profit
- $36.51
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Over position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5 Corners
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.79
- Potential profit
- $9.79
- User PnL
- -$4.21
Under position
England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.17
Under position
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.76
Spain position
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.94
Under position
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.12
Under position
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.31
Under position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp 39% 64.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETDown 37% 13.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp 89% 28.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown 8.5% 73.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown 46% 54.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp 48% 52.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp 4% 60.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown 51% 9.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown 51% 9.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp 41% 60.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown 1% 65.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown 38% 65.79 shares