Polymarket Trader

gondamar

0x315f9cbed6ddd02ad282d0f64ba5d865c34aacb7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $64.82
Realized PnL: $1.13
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $29.36
Potential profit: $13.36
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $6.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.92
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.28
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.98
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $10.13
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.7
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $9.68
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $9.32
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $9.24
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.83
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.3
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.38
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.98
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C or higher on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.8
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.96
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 47.9%
Multiplier: 2.09x
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 52.2%
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 91.4%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: -$0.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Polymarket update