No position
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $11.59
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.59
Polymarket Trader
parklsonstt
0x31657c6d9935ec103d77cc5732dd7ce75e9ea6ac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $179.52
- Realized PnL
- $67.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Plasma reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $11.27
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.27
No position
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $3.93
No position
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $11.31
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.31
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $8.47
- Potential payout
- $9.03
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $8.68
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $7.44
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- -$7.14
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $8.02
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.2%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $5.17
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- -$3.87
No position
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.8%
- Current value
- $3.89
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $4.61
- Multiplier
- 2.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $7.98
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will Ethena reach $0.24 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Current value
- $7.46
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.45
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $8.15
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.76
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $7.31
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $7.86
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $7.39
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
No position
Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
No position
Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
No position
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will Ethena reach $0.24 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 88.5% 9 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89% 9 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?Yes 93.9% 5 shares
- Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?No 98.3% 8.5 shares
- Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?No 91% 8.5 shares
- Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 96.3% 8.5 shares
- Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No 89% 8.5 shares
- Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?No 91% 8.5 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No 89% 8.5 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?No 83% 8.5 shares
- SBF released from custody in 2026?No 87% 8.5 shares
- Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?No 91% 8.5 shares