No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $119.88
- Potential payout
- $120.18
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $0.72
Polymarket Trader
6578
0x317617622008e93e07656540a15c9c25022ffff7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $165.87
- Realized PnL
- $33.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $24.99
- Potential payout
- $25.1
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $10.97
- Potential payout
- $11.17
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $10.03
- Potential payout
- $10.74
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.57
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
Knicks position
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Ravens position
Ravens vs. Dolphins
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Knicks position
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Top Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 60.18 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 93.1% 10.74 shares
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?No 99.6% 25.1 shares
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks 70% 7.14 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.8% 35.07 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 10.75 shares
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.9% 12.01 shares
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?No 99.8% 30.06 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No 99.9% 39.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No 99.9% 100.1 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 99.9% 12.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No 99.7% 27.33 shares