Polymarket Trader

zkm8093

0x3178747b0114a766a033236393d94fc3a327c7dc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $89.05
Realized PnL: $42.5
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $11.62
Potential payout: $230.01
Potential profit: $218.39
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $11.43
Potential payout: $198.73
Potential profit: $187.31
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $18.9
Potential payout: $44.47
Potential profit: $25.57
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $10.68
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $16.35
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $15.09
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $2.77
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $7.39
Potential payout: $8.64
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $5.33
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $5.43
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $5.43

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 48.1%
Current value: $3.2
Potential payout: $6.66
Potential profit: $3.46
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.89
Potential profit: $4.89
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.08

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.9%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $9.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $1.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$4.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Up 44% 11.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Up 49% 10.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Down 65% 38.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Down 43% 58.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Up 92% 64.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Up 81% 30.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Up 75% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Down 88% 15.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Down 71% 7.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Down 58% 8.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Up 65% 38.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Up 84% 11.9 shares