Yes position
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.4%
- Current value
- $420.96
- Potential payout
- $551
- Potential profit
- $130.04
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$17.28
Polymarket Trader
quantpp
0x317b966c2b06d67f7df98443457a1fa6ffedc4c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $827.18
- Realized PnL
- $287.32
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $406.22
- Potential payout
- $504.62
- Potential profit
- $98.4
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $17.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.28
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.23
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.08
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.6
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.07
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.04
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.7
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.73
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.15
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 77% 150 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 77% 100 shares
- Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 79.8% 250 shares
- Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 79.3% 301 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 98.9% 143.18 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 77% 254.62 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 92% 600 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Yes 0.1% 226.62 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 90.8% 484.91 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?Yes 2% 59.02 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?Yes 14.3% 59.02 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.2% 10 shares