gabrielsmith

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $8.01
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$8.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $623.69
Potential profit: $620.26
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$5.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $439.68
Potential profit: $435.06
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$3.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $348.25
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $182.5
Potential profit: $181.77
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $152.63
Potential profit: $151.03
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.93
Potential profit: $113.93
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $84.84
Potential profit: $79.75
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $57
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-02?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.65
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $40.01
Potential profit: $38.17
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 22.9%
Current value: $8.67
Potential payout: $37.86
Potential profit: $29.19
Multiplier: 4.37x
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.67
Potential profit: $36.67
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.86
Potential profit: $33.86
User PnL: -$4.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.23
Potential profit: $24.23
User PnL: -$9.84

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.82
Potential profit: $19.82
User PnL: -$7.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.91
Potential profit: $18.91
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.28

No position

Will SC Internacional win on 2025-11-02?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Celtics

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Raptors position

Grizzlies vs. Raptors

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

No position

Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Raptors position

Bucks vs. Raptors

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET