Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $352.87
- Potential payout
- $433.02
- Potential profit
- $80.15
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$4.07
Polymarket Trader
caigou
0x31a7a4c932fa8670d3bee328074c57f7fe951ba9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $352.87
- Realized PnL
- $298.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.87
- Potential profit
- $28.87
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.35
- Potential profit
- $22.35
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.76
- Potential profit
- $17.76
- User PnL
- -$6.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.14
- Potential profit
- $16.14
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.07
- Potential profit
- $10.07
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.34
- Potential profit
- $8.34
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.26
- Potential profit
- $8.26
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.74
- Potential profit
- $7.74
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.9
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.66
- Potential profit
- $6.66
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.71
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.71
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.87
- Potential profit
- $4.87
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.33
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.13
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No 99.8% 32.63 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 82% 395.74 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 78.2% 252.68 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 84% 175.23 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 75% 252.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 66.8% 13.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 93% 5.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 97% 5.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 97% 5.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 92% 5.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 76% 2.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETDown 98% 5.1 shares