travino

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $14.16
Potential payout: $363.08
Potential profit: $348.92
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$71.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $23.48
Potential payout: $361.23
Potential profit: $337.75
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$12.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $70.29
Potential payout: $351.46
Potential profit: $281.17
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $21.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $68.64
Potential payout: $343.18
Potential profit: $274.54
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $18.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $107.23
Potential payout: $315.39
Potential profit: $208.16
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.41
Potential profit: $304.41
User PnL: -$19.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $50.99
Potential payout: $291.35
Potential profit: $240.37
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.89
Potential profit: $289.89
User PnL: -$35.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $289.65
Potential profit: $289.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$36.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284.79
Potential profit: $284.79
User PnL: -$45.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284.35
Potential profit: $284.35
User PnL: -$35.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.34
Potential profit: $269.34
User PnL: -$46.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.25
Potential profit: $265.25
User PnL: -$22.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.36
Potential profit: $246.36
User PnL: -$43.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $219.72
Potential profit: $219.61
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$47.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.08
Potential profit: $208.08
User PnL: -$10.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $49.72
Potential payout: $202.92
Potential profit: $153.21
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $48.69
Potential payout: $202.86
Potential profit: $154.18
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.38
Potential profit: $201.38
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $48.83
Potential payout: $199.3
Potential profit: $150.47
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $312.81

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.53

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.01

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.75

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.86

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C or higher on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.1

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.55

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET