No position
US bank failure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $19.82
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$333.37
Polymarket Trader
SignalOrchard
0x31b3cc28ea00c184cf1e2c25d119fe21d248b35c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.42
- Realized PnL
- $12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $18.6
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $581.4
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$77.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Polymarket update