Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $22.41
- Potential payout
- $22.43
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $13.44
Polymarket Trader
fmcknight
0x31d7a8ccc532c629738bf6cd07f3199e93cf618c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.34
- Realized PnL
- $64.89
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.92
- Potential payout
- $16.92
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.91
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.48
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.14
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 25?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will XRP reach $3.10 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?Yes 40% 22.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?Yes 39% 16.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 23?No 73% 20.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 22?No 65% 20.37 shares
- Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes 29% 5.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 18?Yes 43% 47.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 17?Yes 28% 16.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 16?Yes 26% 6.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14?Yes 31% 14.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?No 64% 39.59 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11?Yes 61% 43.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 10?Yes 34.1% 33.24 shares