Polymarket Trader

kjkaspj

0x31ff44447ca8efd8fca70c5f9192c37af6f898b4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $264.62
Realized PnL: $1.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $14.29
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.84K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$5.71

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $18.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $231.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $18.75
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $106.25
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $5.79
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $83.22
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $19.13
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $67.83
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $16.67
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $57.41
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$3.33

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $50.62
Potential payout: $50.75
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $48.53
Potential profit: $48.07
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$4.83

Yes position

Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $40.75
Potential profit: $40.58
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.34

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $39.96
Potential payout: $40.16
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $34.32
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$13.61

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $24.2
Potential payout: $27.98
Potential profit: $3.78
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $20.02
Potential payout: $20.26
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $19.97
Potential payout: $20.04
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

X banned in any European country by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $3.62
Potential payout: $19.55
Potential profit: $15.93
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$7.84

Yes position

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.22
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $8.82
Potential profit: $8.38
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $7.9
Potential profit: $6.6
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will Donald Trump dance on June 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $5.78
Potential profit: $3.21
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $2.92
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $3.02
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1.51
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.83

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.09

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.76

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.47

No position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.47

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.23

Yes position

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.2%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $42.71

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.63

Yes position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.9

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.39

Yes position

Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.28

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.69

French Flair position

LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffs

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $23.28

Rhodes position

Wrestlefest: Cody Rhodes vs. Randy Orton

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.58

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.6

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the first round?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.29

No position

Will FedEx say "E-commerce / Ecommerce" during earnings call?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.25

US position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $16.84

No position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.6

No position

BitBoy convicted?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.43

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.95

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.02

No position

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

No 99.6% 20.08 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 2,857.14 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

No 99.6% 20.08 shares
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Yes 23% 86.96 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Yes 8% 250 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 125 shares
Will Donald Trump dance on June 24, 2026?

No 40% 5.78 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 99.8% 20.04 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99.4% 1.51 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99.4% 1.51 shares
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

No 32% 12.09 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 74.07 shares