Polymarket Trader

JosephMorales5589

0x321490534c5f4e9c2d67dc10fd7e85e02e94f00e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $56.41
Realized PnL: $675.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Divisional Round?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $630
Potential profit: $630
User PnL: -$264.6

No position

Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.5
Potential profit: $365.5
User PnL: -$296.06

No position

Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306
Potential profit: $306
User PnL: -$79.56

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.99
Potential profit: $240.99
User PnL: -$38.56

No position

Will Trump say "Drug" 3+ times during the announcement on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186
Potential profit: $186
User PnL: -$18.6

No position

Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$23.27

No position

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.24
Potential profit: $124.24
User PnL: -$108.09

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.14
Potential profit: $120.14
User PnL: -$46.81

Yes position

Will Trump say "Eight wars" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Anthropic IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Pepe ETF in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $92
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $91
User PnL: -$1.27

No position

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $87
User PnL: -$16.01

Yes position

HumidiFi FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83
Potential profit: $83
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: -$52.65

Yes position

Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78
Potential profit: $78
User PnL: -$7.02

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77
Potential profit: $77
User PnL: -$54.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in December 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $74
User PnL: -$4.22

No position

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $55.83
Potential payout: $72.04
Potential profit: $16.21
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$4.68

Yes position

Will Ciucu win by 3-6%?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $64
User PnL: -$10.88

Yes position

Will Turbo be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.31
Potential profit: $54.31
User PnL: -$2.39

Yes position

Will Trump say "Epstein" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $51
User PnL: -$8.16

No position

Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.43
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$18.93

Yes position

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.31

Yes position

Cerebras IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.52

Yes position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.72

Yes position

Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.64

Yes position

Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.52

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.43

No position

Will Sam Altman say "Silicon Valley" or "Nerd" on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.11

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

No position

Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.92

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.46

Up position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.58

Yes position

Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.35

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.86

Yes position

Will F1® 25 win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.8

No position

Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.6

Yes position

Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.44

Yes position

Will Trump say "Countdown" or "Count down" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.18

No position

Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.35

No position

Will Senor Tilt be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.76

Yes position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

Yes position

Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

Yes position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.66

No position

Will Cătălin Drulă get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.54

Yes position

Will Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

No 79% 15 shares
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?

No 18% 16 shares
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be at least 72%?

No 96.8% 22 shares
Will the US strike Somalia next?

Yes 52% 3.29 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?

No 47.8% 411 shares
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

No 72.5% 195 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?

No 38.7% 195 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?

No 38.2% 606 shares
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

No 18.4% 87 shares
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

No 74.2% 195 shares
Will David Hann be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

No 65% 19 shares
Will David Hann be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

No 65% 503 shares