Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $281.68
- Potential payout
- $4.33K
- Potential profit
- $4.05K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$196
Polymarket Trader
luca9940
0x321ab1d7512cd8821ed13e2adeafa2f5545e6f53
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $281.68
- Realized PnL
- $348.2
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $566.38
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- -$18.18
No position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 12% 1,522.42 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10% 1,818.18 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 1,818.18 shares
- Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No 11.8% 1,690 shares
- US recession in 2025?No 98.4% 200 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
- US recession in 2025?No 98% 100 shares
- US recession in 2025?No 97.2% 206 shares
- US recession in 2025?No 61% 786.48 shares
- US recession in 2025?No 64.9% 770.87 shares