Polymarket Trader

samlange04

0x322d4838e7af9a1a3f6981cd51a33a8ba099cbe2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $226.77
Realized PnL: $16.25
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $6.79
Potential payout: $165.65
Potential profit: $158.86
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$8.21

Yes position

Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.53
Potential profit: $162.53
User PnL: -$4.76

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $120
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57.1%
Current value: $57.57
Potential payout: $100.85
Potential profit: $43.27
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $27.57

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.07
Potential profit: $73.07
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $51.67
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $45.9
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $5.38
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $40.49
Potential payout: $40.98
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $30.49

Yes position

Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $8.39
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $27.32
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$11.61

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $35.42
Potential profit: $31.7
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$6.28

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16.67
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.08
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.16
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

No position

Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Hamilton position

Who will finish higher: Hamilton or Piastri?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Oliver Bearman finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.89

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$6.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7.2% 58.13 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8.6% 58.14 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 24.4% 40.98 shares
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Yes 21% 41.66 shares
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Yes 13.7% 73.07 shares
Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Yes 13.5% 37.04 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 76% 13.16 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 71% 14.08 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 60% 16.67 shares
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Yes 2.9% 154.24 shares
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 125 shares
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

Yes 20% 50 shares