Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.64K
- Potential payout
- $19.57K
- Potential profit
- $16.93K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
Polymarket Trader
randomuser213
0x32412aed07e4a94ba50fc7df793b8e2c81b02cc5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.88K
- Realized PnL
- $11.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.25K
- Potential profit
- $5.25K
- User PnL
- -$3.7K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $231.74
- Potential payout
- $4.59K
- Potential profit
- $4.36K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$420.46
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- User PnL
- -$258.67
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$280
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$686
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$999.54
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$847.3
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$48.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$409.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.9K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $463.02
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $340.62
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.69
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.07
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.4
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $186.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.36
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.8
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.41
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.39
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.58
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.65
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.31
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes 77% 144.5 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes 70% 5 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes 31% 78.03 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes 22% 13 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes 21% 118.6 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes 31% 51.7 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes 31% 73.06 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes 20% 175.62 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes 16% 216 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes 40% 172.1 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes 28% 21 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes 40% 554 shares