Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $457.54
- Potential payout
- $888.42
- Potential profit
- $430.88
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $24.27
Polymarket Trader
0x3242A39639c2Ce61a65b8B4502418536002ed2E4-1771905856793
0x3242a39639c2ce61a65b8b4502418536002ed2e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $457.54
- Realized PnL
- $117.94
- Win rate
- 72.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$184
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.48
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.38
Yes position
Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.76
No position
Will Trump say "Qatar" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.44
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Mexico win Pool B at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 50% 100 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 401.87 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 39% 99.52 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 200 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 130 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 50 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 50% 5 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 50% 100 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 32% 421.88 shares
- Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?Yes 92% 21.49 shares
- Will Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?No 87% 10 shares
- Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?Yes 92% 80 shares