Polymarket Trader

xingaze

0x325fe0ebff00b61cf658bb580b698f84986f8e0e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.83K
Realized PnL: $12.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $2.59K
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $149.55
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $2.48K
User PnL: -$1.71K

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $443.4
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $444.03

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $808.45
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $761.36
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $109.91

Yes position

Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$443.19

Yes position

Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$754.8

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $720.49
Potential payout: $852.65
Potential profit: $132.16
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $83.29
Potential payout: $175.35
Potential profit: $92.06
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $847.8

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $803.87

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $796.36

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $762.29

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $665.54

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.83

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $548.86

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470.69

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $457

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.59

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.6

Yes position

Will Lorenzo Radice win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.25

No position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.1

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $357.62

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.89

Yes position

Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.52

Yes position

Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.81

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.12

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.06

No position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.33

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.11

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $106.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 85% 100 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 84% 169.53 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 85% 378.76 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 84% 204.36 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 21% 1,653.86 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 48% 175.35 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 5.4% 1,564.66 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 1,653.87 shares
Will Lorenzo Radice win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?

Yes 70% 362.53 shares
Will Lorenzo Radice win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?

Yes 69% 40 shares
Will Lorenzo Radice win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?

Yes 69% 880.93 shares
Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?

Yes 74% 1,020 shares