Polymarket Trader

icebear1

@ose_tim

0x32627a4b7ca948af3180e72d22a7403addef9ac5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.14
Realized PnL: $35.22
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.92
Potential profit: $47.92
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.61
Potential profit: $33.61
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $19.44
Potential profit: $17.31
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.76
Potential profit: $8.76
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.12
Potential profit: $7.12
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5
Potential profit: $5.5
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.09
Potential profit: $5.09
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275–280 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.48
Potential profit: $4.48
User PnL: -$1.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Hanukkah" or "Chanukah" during Israel President events on December 29?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.91
Potential profit: $3.91
User PnL: -$2.98

No position

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.76
Potential profit: $3.76
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 29?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.53
Potential profit: $3.53
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $3.51
User PnL: -$1.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Up position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 8.9% 19.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Yes 60% 1.83 shares
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Will France win on 2026-07-09?

27.9% 4.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 47.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Yes 36% 9.77 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5

12.9% 18.84 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 AND United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

8.5% 11.43 shares
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 AND Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

27.7% 9.17 shares
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

19.3% 25.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Yes 31% 9.77 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 77% 1.9 shares